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Cruise Sector Challenges: Making Progress in an Uncertain by Philip Gibson, Alexis Papathanassis, Petra Milde PDF

By Philip Gibson, Alexis Papathanassis, Petra Milde

ISBN-10: 3834931675

ISBN-13: 9783834931672

This textbook offers a compendium of significant matters that have been mentioned on the second overseas Cruise convention in Plymouth (UK) among the 18th and twentieth February 2010. the point of interest of the convention was once to contemplate rising concerns, difficulties and options for the cruise at a time whilst buying and selling stipulations have been seemed to be hugely risky.

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Sample text

If these forecasts are promising, companies plan accordingly. Therefore, this work examines if forecasting cruise demand is professional practise or rather wishful thinking with the potential of creating self-fulfilling prophecies. Faulkner and Valerio (1995) argue that there is a naive attitude towards forecasting, characterised by a tendency to adopt forecasts without challenging, or even considering, their underlying assumptions. Assessing current forecasting procedures reveals that especially in the cruise industry as described by Faulkner and Valerio’s arguments (1995), forecasts may be accurate but based on the wrong assumptions.

Due to the fact that this experiment was a qualitative research method, further qualitative and quantitative research should be conducted on this topic in order to verify or reject findings or interpretations. During the period of work further questions arose which may found the basis for future research in this area. One important question concerns the types of destinations where crowding problems are predominant and in which part of the destination lifecycle, which predominant tourist gaze and at which population size this problem occurs.

The aim was to identify their perception of published forecasts and the influence they exert on the market’s development. Our research results confirm the tendency towards self-fulfilling prophecies. New cruise ships are financed and ordered on the basis of an increasing demand, which is nevertheless fuelled by lower prices set by cruise operators creating an ‘artificially-maintained’ under-capacity, reinforcing existing forecasting practices. Keywords: Cruise Tourism Demand Forecasting, Under-Capacity, Delphi-study.

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Cruise Sector Challenges: Making Progress in an Uncertain World by Philip Gibson, Alexis Papathanassis, Petra Milde


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